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Field Of Dreams

One has to be impressed by the Snaith's 'Case For Arthur'

Mostly fact, peppered with a dash of emotion and ra-ra, the Snaith’s ‘Case For Arthur’ was a quite refreshing touch of gamesmanship and needle in a world governed by too serious people and plastic conformity.

Read the cover thought in the latest SP Digest – and tell us what you think

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3 comments on “Field Of Dreams”

  1. Stating the obvious, the most fair and logical way to select the final July field is to look at how horses have performed. In this sporting Post article Graeme Hawkins is quoted as saying: “The betting….serves as a point of reference for our debate…” But to use the betting as a “point of reference” is downright illogical and grossly unfair. Some would call it “insane.”

    – It makes more sense to look at actual results.
    – The general public is more often than not wrong when it comes to betting.
    – It is actually very easy to manipulate the Antepost betting. A smallish bet can
    change the odds significantly.
    – If you look at the betting as a point of reference, then you cannot be selective
    and only look at the top end of the board. You therefore cannot select Brazuca,
    Coral Fever, French Navy, Tilbury Fort and even Safe Harbour and Master

    With the scratchings of Captain America, Bela Bela and Orchid Island, and with Mr Winsome now being certain to be selected after his win in the Track and Ball Derby and his 3rd place dead-heat with It’s My Turn in the grade 2 Greyville 1900, UNLESS there are further scratchings and IF horses that made the top 20 on the Race Log will still be selected by the panel, this means that 18 positions have now been taken.

    One can confidently predict that all the horses that were in positions 21 to 25, the so called “Next 5” on the last Race Log, will not be selected. Silver Mountain and Zodiac Ruler have both been scratched. Liege has had only 1 run in the last 7 months, which was a shocking performance in the Jubilee Handicap. Master Sabina has recently shown consistency – consistently poor against the top horses. Nebula has uninspiring form of late. Since winning the Algoa Cup in PE in October last year, he has only managed once to make the frame, when winning the Pinnacle Stakes over 1600m. Subsequently he finished 2nd last in the Cup Trial and blew whatever small chance he had of qualifying.

    This means that Black Arthur and Coral Fever will be fighting it out for first and second reserve runners. The Jubilee Handicap is a “Preferential consideration” and not an “Automatic inclusion” race. The selection committee is not obliged to include Coral Fever. In the Jubilee Handicap he raced off a merit rating of 89. The second place went to a horse with a merit rating of 85 and 3rd place went to a horse with a merit rating of 87. Hardly justification for being selected for the Durban July! Black Arthur has had only 5 runs since May 2016 and his record is: 7th then 5th then 7th then 10th then an ok-ish 3rd in the grade 3 Cup Trial. Not very inspiring either.

    1. Barryzz, irrespective of his current form, Master Sabina holds a July golden ticket courtesy of his Summer Cup win

  2. If Delightful Dancer (RF 78 one time winner } had won the SA Fillies Classic(Automatic inclusion race) could she have been eliminated from the final July field by the panel?
    Is there no small print, only known to Gold Circle that can allow this?

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