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Barahin Now A 131

Chijmes goes to 119

It was a busy weekend on the local feature front and the NHRA Handicappers have released their assessments of the various races.

  • Peermont Emperors Palace Charity Mile (Grade 2)

BARAHIN has seen his merit rating increased from 122 to 131 after his emphatic success under top weight in the Grade 2 Peermont Emperors Palace Charity Mile (handicap) run over 1600m on the Turffontein standside track on Saturday, 2 November 2019.

The Handicappers felt strongly that FLYING WINGER would not have run below his rating in finishing 4th in a race of this nature and used him as the line horse.  As such, his 105 rating remains unchanged.

Runner-up CHIJMES was raised from 117 to 119, while third placed CASCAPEDIA remains unchanged on 117 after a good effort over a distance which was arguably short of her very best.

The only drop was for INFAMOUS FOX, who goes from 122 to 119.

  • HSH Princess Charlene Starling Stakes (Grade 3)

Joint highest rated MILL QUEEN has had her rating increased from 110 to 112 after she won the HSH Princess Charlene Starling Stakes for three-year-old fillies over 1400m at Turffontein on Saturday.  In this race, fifth placed COCKNEY PRIDE and sixth placed SIDONIE were used as the line horses and therefore remain unchanged.   SIDONIE had run with plenty of credit in the Grade 2 Joburg Spring F&M Challenge against females of all ages in her most recent start and this provides a valuable yardstick to where the three-year-old fillies fit in against their elders.  Clearly, SIDONIE only managing to finish sixth against her generation in this race strongly suggests that the younger crop of females is well up to scratch.

Runner-up WISTERIA WALK was raised from 98 to 111, while third placed KAYLA’S CHAMP goes up from 98 to 110.  Also going up to 110 (from 94) is fourth placed SHIVERS.  LEAGUE OF HER OWN was picked up from 94 to 100, INVISIBLE was raised from 83 to 93, and LADY LEGEND goes from 80 to 85.  The only drop was to SNOW PALACE, who was cut from 108 to 105.

  • Graham Beck Stakes (Grade 3)

FROSTED GOLD has had his rating increased from 112 to 114 after he made a winning seasonal debut as a gelding and captured the Graham Beck Stakes for three-year-olds over 1400m at Turffontein on Saturday.

It was considered very unlikely that sixth placed JOHN HANCOCK would have run below his rating in a contest of this calibre.  Accordingly, he was used as the line horse and his rating remains unaltered.

Runner-up MAGIC SCHOOL goes up from 96 to 100, while third placed RIVERSTOWN was raised to 104 from 93.  Fifth finisher STEAK AND ALE was raised from 89 to 95, to make him equal to JOHN HANCOCK and to seventh placed SHANGO.  BALLON D’OR goes up from 80 to 85 in the only other change.  There were no ratings drops in this race.

  • Yellowwood Handicap (Grade 3)

QUEEN SUPREME has had her rating increased from 97 to 110 after the once-beaten Irish import easily beat her opposition in the Grade 3 Yellowwood Handicap for fillies and mares over 1800m at Turffontein on Saturday.   Here, runner-up RONNIE’S CANDY and third placed ROY’S RIVIERA were both used as line horses and thus their ratings remain as they were.

Four horses had their ratings dropped following this race.

FLYING FABLE goes from 101 to 99, SECRET POTION drops from 106 to 103, RABIA THE REBEL goes from 84 to 83 (she had in fact already been dropped to 83 after her latest race and following publication of the Yellowwood Handicap weights), and SECOND REQUEST was cut from 107 to 104.

  • Golden Loom Handicap (Listed)

PRINCE OF KAHAL has seen his rating increase from 118 to 123 after he landed the Golden Loom Handicap over 1000m at Turffontein on Saturday, in the process recording his third consecutive win at Graded or Listed level.

Here, fourth placed ORAVAR and fifth placed REBEL’S CHAMP exactly replicated the form relative to each other which they had shown behind GIMME A WAVE in a pinnacle plate on 8 October and were accordingly considered to make for very good line horses.  Naturally, their ratings remain unchanged as a consequence.

Runner-up WILLIAM THE SILENT (who caught the eye in his first start since the corresponding race in 2018) was raised from 110 to 114, while third placed QUINLAN goes from 116 to 119 in his first Highveld appearance since he finished 4th in the Grade 1 Computaform Sprint in the Autumn.

Several horses had their ratings dropped.  BOLD EAGLE went from 103 to 101, ATTENBOROUGH drops from 110 to 108, WINTER STORM is down from 102 to 99, DOWN TO ZERO was trimmed to 110 from 112, and RUSSIAN PRINCE drops from 108 to 103.

  • Java Handicap (Listed)

ATYAAB has had his rating raised from 114 to 117 after last season’s Grade 1 Cape Derby winner made a winning debut as a gelding in the Java Handicap over 2400m at Turffontein on Saturday.

Third placed BONDIBLU was used as the line horse and so remains unchanged, but runner-up FACTOR FIFTY goes up from 94 to 99 and looks to be a useful staying filly in the making.

The only other changed made to any runner from this race was to FLICHITY BY FARR, who drops from 103 to 102.

  • Peermont Emperors Palace Ready To Run Cup (Non Black Type)

Top rated SPIRITOFTHEGROOVE remains unchanged on a mark of 107 after she easily won the valuable Peermont Emperors Palace Ready To Run Cup for three-year-olds over 1400m at Turffontein on Saturday.

SPIRITOFTHEGROOVE was by a long way the best weighted runner in this race restricted to graduates of the 2018 BSA Ready To Run Sale, while runner-up GAIAN GLORY was the second best weighted runner and as such also remains unchanged.

Interestingly, the first six places were all occupied by fillies, who generally have enjoyed a good record in this event down the years.

Fourth placed BLUSHING BRIDE and fifth placed ANNATJIE were used as joint line horses and so remain unchanged, but third finisher JUST KIDDING goes up from 84 to 88.  PINCH POT (a maiden having his third start) now qualifies for a rating and was given a mark of 77.  BLONDE BABE drops from 79 to 76, and in the only other change ENJOY THE VIEW was cut to 95 from 97.

  • Model Man Mile (Listed)

Top rated FOOLS GOLD received a small upward adjustment to his rating and goes from 102 to 103 after he thrashed his field to win the Model Man Mile (formerly the KZN Guineas Trial) for three-year-olds over 1600m at Greyville (turf track) on Sunday, 3 November.

Fourth placed SPECIAL BLEND was used as the line horse and so remains unchanged on a mark of 94.

Runner-up BROOKLYN was raised from 82 to 95, while third placed BATTLE OF ALESIA goes from 89 to 94, thus putting both of these horses in line with both the winner and with SPECIAL BLEND.

In other words, the four would meet on the correct terms if they were to clash in a handicap race.

Two horses received ratings drops, with JACK’S BIRD going from 100 to 94, and SWAGGER JAGGER dropping from 83 to 81.

  • Press release by the NHRA on Monday 4 November 2019 / Pics by JC Photos

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12 comments on “Barahin Now A 131

  1. Steve Reid says:

    The elephant in the room remains undisturbed it seems. Glory Days runs 10 lengths off in the Starling and is not adjusted. So that’s 2 x runs against the big girls from the World Radar maiden victory and we now have a last and a 2nd last placing off that formline in features, both double lengths behind the winner. Yes I can do the sums, but the 105 question remains.

    1. karel says:

      The rating produced by PE-raider Glory Days in the Starlight Stakes, beaten 10 lengths, was more or less on a par with the rating she ran to when beaten on debut by World Radar.
      As an expert handicapper you might have spotted this.
      Then again …

  2. Errol B says:

    Can the handicappers please explain “The only drop was for INFAMOUS FOX, who goes from 122 to 119.” Why pick on Infamous Fox to drop by a significant 3 points when he finished a credible 7th in the race, only 7.5l off the winner & 4 lengths off 2nd place. All the runners behind Infamous Fox – from 8th – 15th place were left unadjusted even though some of them ran many lengths BEHIND Infamous fox? This smacks of preferential treatment to certain horses by the handicappers and is left totally unexplained by them!

  3. Steve Reid says:

    Then again I did say I can do the sums. What I didn’t say is that a PE 105 is clearly not a WC 105.

    1. karel says:

      So what should it be then?
      I’ve asked you this question before (after Mincione made his case)…
      The handicapper can’t duck, commercial handicappers can’t duck, what about you?
      You use the word ‘clearly’ so you must know then?

  4. Steve Reid says:

    Karel compare the 105 PE rated World Radar to the 105 WC rated Pretty Young thing in the WC Fillies Championship and spot the difference. Now 4/5 of the top rated fillies in that race finished 1,2,3 4. Fantastic MR is the bomb, but the PE elephant he’s still in the room, why did the 105 not stand up? Probably the travel, we need an excuse when the system that cannot have detractors doesn’t hold up. Then again an expert handicapper like you would surely have spotted this..? I’m expecting the 3rd strike and we adjust your MR after her next run.

    To be honest sometimes I don’t bother answering your jibes because I cant compete with the blinkers that you wear. Thats about as clear as I can get. She’s not a 105

    1. karel says:

      OK, this is the third and last time I ask you: what should it be?
      It would be so nice to hear a reasoned answer from you.
      But of course it’s much easier to keep ducking the question than to put your neck on the block.

  5. Frankie says:

    Frankie Zackey…Thank goodness you not comparing a KZN 105…WC MR 105 JHB MR 105 is at least 5 points better off to a PE MR105 and 8 points better off to a KZN 105…SR if you firmly believe that is the case why not use it to your own benefit…I do…Karel it’s time for pacifiers Boet

  6. hilton witz says:

    So horses like paris perfect, bold silvano, lizards affair and national park were also all over rated ?The national trainers log of last season will show that 2 pe trainers finished in the top 10 so the quality of their racing is not to be taken lightly

  7. Steve Reid says:

    Karel I am going to go on a bit of a ramble here. Let me start by saying that I can give you a few answers to what her MR rating might be, depending on how you view her race record, and be able to justify the differences. That in itself is problematic to me but that’s an argument that we have started and not finished years ago – go look at my comments on your how MR works and note the line horse and punishment of juvenile winners comments. Let me also reiterate that I believe MR figures have different values in different centres. An established MR 100 in PE does not carry the weight ( excuse the pun ) of an established MR 100 in WC. Perusal of the big PE races over the years supports my theory. Frankie Zackey is correct, this can be used to a punters advantage, but the question remains why is this an anomaly in the first place?

    Let’s start at the beginning and analyse her 105. She ran in a race where the first 4 were 1st timers. The line horse finished 18 lengths behind. That in itself should be raising warning flags, but it gets better, the handicapper takes the line horses worst of four runs to set the marker that results in the 105. There’s your first anomaly, if you want to declare a superstar why water it down when the thinking her rating should have been as high as a 113? Is there faith in the system or isn’t there?

    Her second run she wins a Novice Plate in workmanlike fashion against some hard knockers with established formlines. The second horse is a MR80 and is beaten 3,25 giving ,5kg to World Radar. Her MR is unchanged. There’s the second anomoly, in my opinion she ran close to a 100 but the 113 maiden run theory has the handicapper wary and she remained unchanged.

    Her third run is the WC Fillies Championship where she starts favourite and hyped as a potential superstar based on a maiden win and a novice plate in PE. After being well positioned, fades away and the 10,4l margin does her no justice but she was never going to trouble the quartet. If you want to speculate, perhaps she travelled badly, perhaps in season, short behind, whatever. The bottom line when compared to the other 105 in the race is she was soundly beaten. There was no speculation by the handicappers regarding the effects of overcoming a 16 draw when they announced their line horse. As highlighted in an earlier comment, the top 4 places were filled by fillies in the top 5. Perhaps the handicapper had more relative form to work with in establishing the WC ratings?

    I will stick to my opinion that she is at best a 100 at this stage based on the Novice run. For Alan and the owners sake I hope I’m wrong.

    I will end off by declaring that I am unashamedly bias. I dont like our bastardised version of this handicapping system, horse populations raised and dropped to suit the programme. When I see a horse rated 131 after winning a Grade 2 against provincial opposition and compare it to Do It Again international rating of 120 I just mentally switch off. Maybe our mutual friend is correct and I’m just a dumb f$%king owner

  8. Steve Reid says:

    @hylton – Theres a fatal flaw in your argument. The horses that you mentioned performed in the bigger centres, At this stage of her career World Radar should not be mentioned in the same breath.

  9. Rod Mattheyse says:

    Do It agains international rating is in pounds all 120 of them, which makes it about 108 MR points or half kilo’s

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