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Can Tarry Jump The Green Light Today?

Three scratchings decimate 3yo feature

Hawwaam and subsequent local Gr1 and Australian stakes winner Yulong Prince are the two most recent winners of the R200 000 Gr3 Tony Ruffel Stakes. That attests to the quality produced by the 3yo feature.

The scratchings of Alibi Guy, Leopold and Bohica have reduced the field to just seven run runners.

A 3yo conditions race with penalties for wins and graded race victories, the SP top-rated is the paperweighted Gary Alexander filly Gaian Glory who looks nicely in off her 50,5kg mark.

History is also in her favour as demonstrated by Mike de Kock’s successful tactical move to run Ektifaa with her 2,5kg sex discount against the males in the 2016 renewal.

Gaian Glory has proven consistent and looked a winner in the Emperors Palace Ready To Run Cup until run over late by the diminutive Spiritofthegroove.

Got The Greenlight returns from a long break (Pic – Candiese Lenferna)

Last season’s sensational Gr1 Premiers Champion Stakes winner Got The Greenlight has his first run as a 3yo and returns from a 23 week break. The son of Gimmethegreenlight looks top class but his topweight of 60kgs – giving from 5kgs to 9,5kgs away to all and sundry – and his ring rustiness, could be a dealbreaker. Trainer Joey Soma says his Gr1 winner has had an interrupted preparation, but that he is hoping that his class will get him through

Sean Tarry – strong hand

The first of the Sean Tarry duo, the obviously very smart Ikigai gets 7kgs from Got The Greenlight and strips a fit horse. He beat subsequent Grand Heritage winner Riverstown at level weights last time and looks ready to take his chances in the higher leagues.

It would be folly to discount any Paul Peter – Warren Kennedy runner but John Hancock was beaten close on six lengths in the Dingaans after failing to show from his unfavourable draw. The son of Toreador enjoys a 5kg swing for a 3,50 length beating last term by Got The Greenlight and now has the opportunity to show his mettle.

Johnny Hero is another that will need to up his game to challenge.

Recent maiden winner Valetorio won going away last time and steps up from the sprints at his fourth start. The trainer-jockey combination have a habit of proving the skeptics wrong!

The recently gelded Westlife looks solidly held by John Hancock on his last start and even with the advantage of the pole position draw would be a surprise winner.

While the weights suggest Gaian Glory is the right one, Ikigai and Got The Greenlight could prove their progressive ability.

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4 comments on “Can Tarry Jump The Green Light Today?

  1. hilton witz says:

    Interesting race as ikigai has run well above his rating in his last two starts but thanks to the restrictions put on handicapers he has a capped rating of 98..His 2nd to true to life when 10 pounds under sufferance and his beating of riverstown when 12 pounds under sufferance and considering that true to life is now a 117 which was achieved over sprints and riverstown is now a 108 makes ikigai rating of 98 a little bit short of what his true ability is….the danger looks to be john hancock who won a 3yo handicap giving weight all round but on paper its ikigais race to lose if ratings are to be believed..

  2. Loren D says:

    After the race I decided to look at the stats regarding the Joe Soma stables. I used formgrids which made it very easy. It was an eye opener. Had I looked at them before, I would have been more cautious. The stats read like this. Joe Soma last had a winner on 8 August 2019. This equates to the Joe Soma stable having had 80 runners since that date without a winner. The last winner they had before 8 August 2019 was on July day when Got the greenlight won. I am hoping that I am seeing things but it seems that the win on July day may have been a flash in the pan. The Premiers form shows that there have only been 3 subsequent winners since that race. It shows that despite being a Grade 1 race, the field did not have the usual depth of a Hrade 1 race. Besides this, I am hoping that the horse was underdone today. I am hoping the halcyon days will return for the stable. I know there will be excuses for todays run. There always is. Joe Soma gave us and the owners advance notice. The writing seems to have been on the wall from the get go. The horse drifted all day. The bookies must have known that the horse would not win. All said and done, I will give Got the greenlight one more chance. I understand that hindsight is always a perfect science.

  3. WILLIAM MILKOVITCH says:

    Bloody good payout for today’s Pick 6 in the Transvaal, hey ?

    R 53 627 with Ikigai, Factor Fifty and Gavin Lerana winning on Dancing Queen

  4. Deezo Snyman says:

    Damn brilliant payout. Only thing is I could not find Jet Start who was almost eight pounds out the weights with Green Haze and Al Mutawakel. I could have put field in that leg with only 6 horses and got 6% instead of chasing 18%. Hindsight is a beautiful thing. If only Brandon could have given me his expert tips, who knows.

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